Gurus' Moves

Davis Q4 2025 13F Analysis: Strategy & Top Holdings

Deep dive into Davis Q4 2025 13F: Capital recycling strategy, the "Protein Pivot" (JBS, Tyson), and the rotation from AMAT to Energy.

13Radar Research
13Radar Research
Davis Q4 2025 13F Analysis: Strategy & Top Holdings

1. Core Philosophy vs. Portfolio Reality: Defining Quality Investing

The "Davis Investment Discipline" represents a rigorous, multi-generational framework prioritizing the acquisition of durable, well-managed businesses at significant discounts to intrinsic value. In a market cycle increasingly dominated by momentum-chasing and technical volatility, Davis Selected Advisers remains a bastion for "Quality Investing."

The Q4 2025 13F filing serves as a definitive litmus test for these values. It illustrates how the firm maneuvers within a $22.25 billion portfolio to maintain structural integrity while selectively exploiting market dislocations.

Chris Davis's portfolio holdings Q4 2025

Chris Davis's portfolio Q4 2025

Strategic Alignment: Philosophy vs. Q4 Metrics

The table below contrasts the firm's stated philosophy with empirical data from the quarter.

Davis Investment Pillar

Q4 2025 Empirical Evidence

Long-Term Perspective

Average turnover rate maintained at a remarkably low 2.94%.

Intrinsic Value Gap

Aggressive, high-conviction entries into out-of-favor Energy and Consumer Staples.

Competitive Advantage

Highly concentrated conviction in 108 holdings with a top-heavy allocation.

Durability & Quality

Structural foundation dominated by Financials and Big Tech with 10+ year durations.

The "So What?" Layer: Validating the Quality Claim

A 2.94% turnover rate is not merely a metric; it is a strategic declaration. In an institutional landscape often pressured by quarterly performance optics, such low turnover validates Davis’s identity as a business owner rather than a market speculator. While high-level metrics suggest a period of deceptive calm, the underlying position movements reveal a sophisticated rotation designed to optimize the portfolio’s yield and growth profile for 2026.

2. Analysis of "Anchor" Positions: A Decade of Conviction

"Anchor" positions are the structural bedrock of the Davis strategy. By maintaining exposure to assets like Capital One and Alphabet for over a decade, the firm differentiates itself from short-term speculators. This conviction allows the firm to ignore transient market noise and focus on the fundamental compounding of equity value.

Top 5 Decade-Plus Holdings

  • Capital One Financial Corp (COF): Held >10 years. Q4 Activity: +2.80% (Fortifying position).

  • U.S. Bancorp (USB): Held >10 years. Q4 Activity: +13.43% (Aggressive accumulation).

  • Meta Platforms, Inc. (META): Held 10 years. Q4 Activity: +2.18% (Core stability).

  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Held 10 years. Q4 Activity: +12.57% (Significant conviction increase).

  • Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT): Held >10 years. Q4 Activity: -24.36% (Legacy Anchor in Transition).

Doubling Down on Durability

The decision to aggressively expand stakes in legacy financial holdings like U.S. Bancorp (+13.43%) represents a "doubling down" on proven durability. Davis signals that despite the age of these positions, the intrinsic value gap remains wide enough to justify further capital commitment.

3. Tactical Shifts: The Energy and Consumer Staples Pivot

A hallmark of the Davis discipline is its contrarian backbone—the mandate to buy out-of-favor industries at value prices. In Q4 2025, Davis executed a definitive rotation into Energy and Consumer Staples, sectors currently unloved by growth-heavy indices but offering robust cash-flow durability.

The Energy Surge: Coterra Energy (CTRA)

Davis executed a massive expansion into Coterra Energy (CTRA), increasing the position by 63.64% (+12.65M shares). This $333.05 million value change in a position held for only six months represents a rapid escalation of conviction in the energy sector's cash-flow sustainability.

The "Protein Pivot": JBS & Tyson Foods

The firm initiated a new position in JBS N.V. with 11.85 million shares. This was the largest purchase by dollar amount ($170.95 million) in Q4. This entry was reinforced by a 28.8% increase in Tyson Foods (TSN).

This pivot is a specific bet on global protein demand and commodity price cycles. By focusing on meat producers, Davis is moving beyond general "Staples" into a sub-sector with significant pricing power and global scale. These are defensive, cash-flow-heavy industries that balance the portfolio's "growthier" tech exposure.

4. Strategic Divestments and Portfolio Pruning

Effective capital allocation requires the cold-blooded recycling of capital. Even a "Quality Investor" must reduce exposure to high-conviction names when they reach a "mature cyclical" profile.

Divestment Summary

  • Applied Materials (AMAT): A significant 24.36% reduction (-1.35M shares), harvesting $347.63 million in capital after a decade-plus run.

  • Humana Inc. (HUM): A definitive "Sold Out" status, exiting all 385,539 shares to eliminate healthcare risk.

  • The Bank of New York Mellon (BK): A drastic 48.4% reduction in position size.

The Strategic Recycling of Capital

The logic here is textbook capital recycling. The $347.63 million harvested from Applied Materials almost perfectly offsets the $333.05 million expansion into Coterra Energy. This represents a definitive rotation from a mature, high-valuation semiconductor play into a high-yield energy growth play. Furthermore, the contrast between pruning AMAT and increasing Pinterest (+49.5%) and Berkshire Hathaway (+38.6%) is telling—shifting from mature cyclical tech into high-growth quality platforms and diversified value fortresses.

5. Conclusion: Evaluating the Davis Discipline Consistency

The Q4 2025 activity demonstrates that Chris Davis is successfully balancing the foundational "Davis Investment Discipline" with the tactical requirements of a shifting market.

Top 3 Strategic Takeaways

  1. Anchored Conviction: A refusal to abandon long-term foundations in Financials and Big Tech, despite extended durations.

  2. The Contrarian Bet: An aggressive pivot into JBS and CTRA signifies a major sector bet on "real world" cash flows.

  3. Disciplined Lifecycle Management: Pruning AMAT and BK proves that no position is immune to the sell-rule when capital can be deployed more effectively.

The Bottom Line: The 2.94% turnover rate is a "misleadingly calm" metric. Beneath the surface, Davis has performed a surgical rotation, recycling nearly $350 million from mature tech into energy and protein. This ensures the firm enters 2026 with a "barbell" profile: a rock-solid foundation of decade-old winners supported by an aggressive, defensive-leaning tactical wing.

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